7
Immortalised
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 101
Saratoga · Race 9 - National Museum Of Racing Hall Of Fame Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲5
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 2.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -5.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Churchill Downs | BHA102 | 2nd | 14th | −10 |
| 2026-05-29 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-01-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2025-08-01 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 13th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |