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2

Golden Prosperity

7yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 48

Thirsk · goracing.co.uk Future Stars Apprentice Classified Stakes · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

80%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful in this corresponding event 12 months ago. Drops back into classified company for the first time since winning at Catterick in April. He'll need to break his run of slow starts if he's to capitalise, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Thirsk 18/04/2026 · Pos 16th of 17 · OR 55 · 6f Goo 135 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 55 par18/046OR 556 @ Doncaster 24/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 55 · 5f3y Goo 135 · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Catterick 11/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 54 · 5f Gd 134 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 54 par11/056OR 546 @ Redcar 26/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 52 · 5f217y Goo 148 · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Wetherby 15/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 50 · 5f110y Goo 130 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 50 par15/066OR 506 @ Musselburgh 22/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 50 · 5f1y Gd 130 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Thirsk 01/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR 50 · 6f Goo 131 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 50 par1/076OR 506 @ Beverley 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 49 · 5f Goo 129 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Redcar 29/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 49 · 5f217y Goo 131 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 49 par29/076OR 49projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Redcar67th7th0
2026-07-14Beverley63rd3rd0
2026-07-01Thirsk63rd3rd0
2026-06-22Musselburgh64th4th0
2026-06-15Wetherby65th5th0
2026-05-26Redcar612th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0426/051/0729/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength77%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/202616th10/147%6%-0.41
24/04/202610th9/153%31%-0.22
11/05/20266th13/266%50%-0.16
26/05/202612th28/10%0%0.00
15/06/20265th14/126%50%+0.24
22/06/20264th9/153%67%+0.14
01/07/20263rd22/10%88%+0.88
14/07/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07
29/07/20267th12/137%25%-0.12