4
Mister Sky Blue
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 47
Thirsk · goracing.co.uk Future Stars Apprentice Classified Stakes · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Catterick | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Ripon | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Hamilton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Redcar | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Redcar | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 09/12/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |
| 16/12/2025 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.17 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 45% | -0.33 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 01/07/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 53% | -0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |