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5

Mrs Trump

6yo Mare · 9-9 · OR 48

Thirsk · goracing.co.uk Future Stars Apprentice Classified Stakes · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Landed first leg of a double over C&D last summer. Turned in best effort of this season without scaling those heights when fifth of 9 at Redcar last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Nottingham 15/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 60 · 5f8y Goo 135 · beat its mark15/10/2025 · OR 60 par15/106OR 606 @ Redcar 27/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 59 · 5f217y Goo 132 · beat its mark27/10/2025 · OR 59 par6 @ Redcar 04/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 59 · 5f217y Goo 134 · beat its mark04/11/2025 · OR 59 par4/116OR 596 @ Newcastle 20/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 58 · 6f Std 133 · below its mark20/11/2025 · OR 58 par5 @ Nottingham 09/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 58 · 5f8y Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 58 par9/055OR 585 @ Pontefract 22/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 56 · 5f3y Goo 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Wetherby 04/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 54 · 5f110y Goo 134 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 54 par4/066OR 546 @ Thirsk 01/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 51 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Redcar 29/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 49 · 5f217y Goo 131 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 49 par29/076OR 49projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Redcar65th5th0
2026-07-01Thirsk68th8th0
2026-06-04Wetherby67th7th0
2026-05-22Pontefract56th5th+1
2026-05-09Nottingham57th6th+1
2025-11-20Newcastle68th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1020/114/0629/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength54%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/20254th11/271%77%+0.06
27/10/20255th11/142%67%+0.25
04/11/20254th11/271%63%-0.09
20/11/20258th10/147%13%-0.35
09/05/20267th10/147%25%-0.22
22/05/20266th12/137%44%+0.08
04/06/20267th12/137%25%-0.12
01/07/20268th13/266%59%-0.07
29/07/20265th4/179%50%-0.29