6
Newyorkstateofmind
9yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 44
Thirsk · goracing.co.uk Future Stars Apprentice Classified Stakes · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Ayr | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Wetherby | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Bath | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Catterick | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Doncaster | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength40%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 21/10/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 06/11/2025 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 15% | -0.32 |
| 24/04/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 90% | +0.35 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 55% | -0.19 |
| 15/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 06/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |