7
Tarlac
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 48
Thirsk · goracing.co.uk Future Stars Apprentice Classified Stakes · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Hamilton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Hamilton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Carlisle | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Ripon | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Hamilton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Ayr | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength73%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 15/05/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |
| 28/05/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |