8
Thank The Lord
7yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 48
Thirsk · goracing.co.uk Future Stars Apprentice Classified Stakes · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Doncaster | 6 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Newcastle | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-27 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Southwell | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Newcastle | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2025 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 03/11/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 09/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 22/01/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 27/01/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 24/02/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 23/03/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 24/04/2026 | 14th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |