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7yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 48

Thirsk · goracing.co.uk Future Stars Apprentice Classified Stakes · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back in classified event for first time since winning at Newcastle (6f) in February. Positive enough stable debut when 2½ lengths second in first-time tongue strap there last time. Has won on turf (off 2 lb higher) and makes appeal under good-value apprentice.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 16/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 55 · 5f Std 125 · below its mark16/12/2025 · OR 55 par16/126OR 556 @ Newcastle 20/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 52 · 6f Std 132 · beat its mark20/01/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Newcastle 19/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 50 · 6f Std 135 · beat its mark19/02/2026 · OR 50 par19/026OR 506 @ Newcastle 11/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 51 · 6f Std 131 · beat its mark11/03/2026 · OR 51 par5 @ Newcastle 27/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 51 · 6f Std 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 51 par27/035OR 516 @ Redcar 20/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 51 · 7f Goo 126 · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Southwell 07/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 50 · 7f14y Std 130 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 50 par7/056OR 506 @ Ripon 28/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 50 · 6f Goo 131 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Newcastle 26/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 48 · 6f Sta 128 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 48 par26/066OR 48projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-26Newcastle62nd2nd0
2026-05-28Ripon65th5th0
2026-05-07Southwell65th5th0
2026-04-20Redcar66th6th0
2026-03-27Newcastle52nd1st+1
2026-03-11Newcastle63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1211/037/0526/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength78%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/12/202512th28/10%8%+0.08
20/01/20266th11/142%38%-0.05
19/02/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
11/03/20263rd11/271%67%-0.04
27/03/20262nd16/116%88%+0.72
20/04/20266th16/116%62%+0.46
07/05/20265th11/271%56%-0.15
28/05/20265th7/282%43%-0.39
26/06/20262nd5/174%92%+0.18