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12

Dorothea Hope

2yo Filly · 8-10

Thirsk · Bob Vickery Memorial Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#13

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed ability when 5½ lengths fourth at Beverley (5f) first time up. Couldn't get into a rhythm after a messy beginning when well held over the same C&D subsequently. Will need to build on her debut promise to feature.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Beverley 20/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 5f Goo 12220/0755 @ Beverley 28/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 5f Goo 12828/075projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28Beverley55th6th−1
2026-07-20Beverley54th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0728/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/07/20264th66/10%70%+0.70
28/07/20265th11/486%67%-0.19