4

Shaniko

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 65

Thirsk · Bob Vickery Memorial Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left debut form behind when chasing home an above-average one (followed up since) at Nottingham (soft). Found the pace too hot on return to firmer ground at Redcar next time. Returns from 7 weeks off with yard in a quiet spell.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chester 30/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 6f17y Gd 12530/0545 @ Nottingham 11/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 5f8y GS 12811/0654 @ Redcar 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 5f Gd 12820/064projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20Redcar44th4th0
2026-06-11Nottingham52nd3rd1
2026-05-30Chester412th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0511/0620/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/202612th40/10%0%0.00
11/06/20262nd28/10%88%+0.88
20/06/20264th40/10%40%+0.40