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9

Travellers Girl

2yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 68

Thirsk · Bob Vickery Memorial Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made a positive start to hit the frame in a trio of 6f events. Wasn't disgraced/didn't see out the longer distance as well as expected at York (7f) last time. Had been going the right way prior to that, and she's one to consider on first crack over the minimum trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ripon 17/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f Gd 12817/0645 @ Thirsk 01/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 6f Goo 1251/0755 @ Ripon 06/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f Goo 1286/0753 @ York 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 70 · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 70 par24/073OR 70projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24York35th4th+1
2026-07-06Ripon53rd4th−1
2026-07-01Thirsk53rd4th−1
2026-06-17Ripon44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/061/076/0724/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength30%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/06/20264th66/10%50%+0.50
01/07/20263rd8/158%78%+0.20
06/07/20263rd17/255%80%+0.25
24/07/20265th7/163%43%-0.20