5
Bonjour Belle
2yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 55
Thirsk · Peter Bell Memorial Fillies' Nursery · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength53%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Redcar | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Chester | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength1%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 19/07/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |