Priscilla's Hope
2yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 55
Thirsk · Peter Bell Memorial Fillies' Nursery · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Pontefract | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Nottingham | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Redcar | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Yarmouth | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 08/05/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 43% | +0.01 |