Spirit Of Mary
2yo Filly · 8-2 · OR 45
Thirsk · Peter Bell Memorial Fillies' Nursery · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Thirsk | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Pontefract | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Beverley | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Ripon | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Beverley | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |