3
Azuinthejungle
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 67
Thirsk · Ladies' Day Saturday 5th September - Book Now Handicap · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Beverley | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Ayr | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Hamilton | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Ripon | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength88%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 17/05/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |