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6

Glory Fighter

10yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 68

Thirsk · Ladies' Day Saturday 5th September - Book Now Handicap · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Veteran C&D winner who responded well when getting off the mark for the year at Nottingham (5f) in April. Struggled on his last couple of starts, but he's been freshened up and should be able to get his own way in front.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 05/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 75 · 5f Std 135 · below its mark05/12/2025 · OR 75 par5/125OR 755 @ Southwell 18/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 73 · 4f214y Std 134 · beat its mark18/12/2025 · OR 73 par5 @ Southwell 06/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 72 · 4f214y Std 133 · below its mark06/01/2026 · OR 72 par6/015OR 724 @ Newcastle 22/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 71 · 5f Std 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/01/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Newcastle 06/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 69 · 5f Std 134 · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 69 par6/025OR 695 @ Nottingham 08/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 70 · 5f8y Goo 135 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Ripon 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 72 · 5f Gd 133 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 72 par8/055OR 724 @ Thirsk 16/05/2026 · Pos 15th of 17 · OR 71 · 5f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Catterick 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 70 · 5f GS 131 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 70 par11/065OR 70projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-11Catterick56th6th0
2026-05-16Thirsk415th14th+1
2026-05-08Ripon55th5th0
2026-04-08Nottingham51st1st0
2026-02-06Newcastle53rd3rd0
2026-01-22Newcastle48th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1222/018/0511/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/12/20258th25/10%13%+0.13
18/12/20253rd40/10%75%+0.75
06/01/20269th16/116%11%-0.05
22/01/20268th50/10%0%0.00
06/02/20263rd33/10%78%+0.78
08/04/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
08/05/20265th11/271%43%-0.28
16/05/202615th28/10%13%+0.13
11/06/20266th9/276%17%-0.60