1
J Street
4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 73
Thirsk · Ladies' Day Saturday 5th September - Book Now Handicap · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Chester | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Doncaster | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Hamilton | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Thirsk | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 17/11/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 70% | +0.15 |