2

Majestic

8yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 88

Thirsk · William Hill, Market Place, Thirsk Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 8y

#5

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Veteran landed first success since the 2022 Cambridgeshire when successful in Bahrain in January 2025. Best recent effort when runner-up in this grade at Windsor in June before finding things too competitive at Newmarket subsequently. This looks more realistic.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength50%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 16/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 87 · 1m1f104y Std 142 · beat its mark16/11/2024 · OR 87 par16/114OR 872 @ Goodwood 23/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 98 · 1m3f218y Goo 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 98 par2 @ Newbury 20/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 99 · 1m5f61y Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 99 par20/092OR 992 @ Doncaster 25/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 98 · 1m2f43y Hvy 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 98 par2 @ Doncaster 08/11/2025 · Pos 19th of 22 · OR 96 · 1m3f197y Hvy 127 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/11/2025 · OR 96 par8/112OR 962 @ Goodwood 02/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 94 · 1m1f197y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 94 par3 @ Hamilton 15/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 92 · 1m3f15y Gd 132 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 92 par15/053OR 923 @ Windsor 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 90 · 1m3f99y GF 131 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 90 par2 @ Newmarket 10/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 90 · 1m6f GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 90 par10/072OR 90projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Newmarket210th9th+1
2026-06-27Windsor32nd2nd0
2026-05-15Hamilton34th4th0
2026-05-02Goodwood27th6th+1
2025-11-08Doncaster219th18th+1
2025-10-25Doncaster28th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1125/1015/0510/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/11/20241st6/168%100%+0.32
23/08/20253rd12/137%67%+0.30
20/09/202512th50/10%15%+0.15
25/10/20258th28/10%22%+0.22
08/11/202519th100/10%14%+0.14
02/05/20267th16/116%25%+0.09
15/05/20264th15/261%50%-0.11
27/06/20262nd9/153%83%+0.31
10/07/202610th80/10%0%0.00