Wahdan
5yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 87
Thirsk · William Hill, Market Place, Thirsk Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 8y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | York | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Chester | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-09-26 | Dundalk | 1 | 11th | 8th | +2 |
| 2025-08-08 | Tipperary | BHA97 | 3rd | 11th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2025 | 22nd | 80/1 | 0% | 28% | +0.28 |
| 29/06/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/07/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/08/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 26/09/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 78% | +0.36 |