5
Wanderlust
4yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 83
Thirsk · William Hill, Market Place, Thirsk Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 8y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Newbury | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Chester | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Angers | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-09-02 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-08-12 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength68%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 16/06/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 11/07/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 12/08/2025 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 69% | -0.21 |
| 02/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 78% | -0.14 |
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |