11
Agric Ranger
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 52
Thirsk · Country Music Night Here Next Friday 14th August Handicap · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength64%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Catterick | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Southwell | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-16 | Ripon | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Pontefract | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 16/04/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |