8
Hellcat
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 54
Thirsk · Country Music Night Here Next Friday 14th August Handicap · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Nottingham | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-15 | Thirsk | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-07-26 | York | 3 | 8th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength34%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 03/05/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 26/07/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/09/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 14/06/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 15% | +0.10 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |