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10

Liquid Cooled

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 52

Thirsk · Country Music Night Here Next Friday 14th August Handicap · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Low-mileage 3-y-o. Gelded before winning on handicap debut at Newcastle (6f) in March. Backed that up with in-frame finishes at Pontefract/Wetherby prior to a lesser effort on return from 11 weeks off at Nottingham last time. May step forward from that with capable apprentice taking over.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength62%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 07/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS7/1154 @ Newcastle 09/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS9/1245 @ Newcastle 19/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 6f Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS19/1256 @ Newcastle 11/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 49 · 6f Std 132 · beat its mark11/03/2026 · OR 49 par11/036OR 496 @ Pontefract 07/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 54 · 6f GS 129 · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 54 par7/046OR 546 @ Wetherby 26/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 54 · 1m Goo 134 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 54 par26/046OR 545 @ Nottingham 17/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 53 · 6f18y Goo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 53 par17/075OR 53projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Nottingham55th4th+1
2026-04-26Wetherby63rd3rd0
2026-04-07Pontefract64th4th0
2026-03-11Newcastle61st1st0
2025-12-19Newcastle511th10th+1
2025-12-09Newcastle47th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1111/0317/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength20%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20256th66/10%38%+0.38
09/12/20257th25/10%0%0.00
19/12/202511th80/10%17%+0.17
11/03/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
07/04/20264th7/282%77%-0.05
26/04/20263rd11/486%71%-0.14
17/07/20265th12/137%33%-0.04