9
Lope Y Linda
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 54
Thirsk · Country Music Night Here Next Friday 14th August Handicap · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Leicester | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Leicester | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ayr | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Ayr | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Musselburgh | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 16/06/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 31% | -0.46 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 90% | +0.35 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |