7

Mare Of London

3yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 57

Thirsk · Country Music Night Here Next Friday 14th August Handicap · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Modest form at 2 for George Scott. Sold for only 5,000 gns last autumn. Stepped up on return/stable debut when beaten under 4 lengths in 5f course handicap latest. Hard to be confident she'll find the required improvement back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength62%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ripon 26/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 5f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS26/0444 @ Kempton 21/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Brighton 30/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f215y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/0553 @ Leicester 05/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 69 · 6f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/07/2025 · OR 69 par5 @ Nottingham 07/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 66 · 6f18y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/08/2025 · OR 66 par7/085OR 666 @ Lingfield 03/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 65 · 7f1y Std 134 · below its mark03/09/2025 · OR 65 par6 @ Ripon 06/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 62 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 62 par6/076OR 626 @ Thirsk 24/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 60 · 5f Goo 134 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 60 par24/076OR 60projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Thirsk67th7th0
2026-07-06Ripon66th6th0
2025-09-03Lingfield66th6th0
2025-08-07Nottingham55th4th+1
2025-07-05Leicester32nd-2th+3
2025-05-30Brighton55th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/045/076/0724/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/04/20255th10/147%0%-0.47
21/05/20253rd100/10%80%+0.80
30/05/20255th13/266%50%-0.16
05/07/20252nd2/189%80%-0.09
07/08/20255th7/282%50%-0.32
03/09/20256th6/168%17%-0.52
06/07/20266th10/147%38%-0.10
24/07/20267th22/10%25%+0.25