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Maximum Velocity

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 65

Thirsk · Country Music Night Here Next Friday 14th August Handicap · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

86%

Place Prob

55%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made all to open his account in a 7f Redcar handicap in May. Much sharper for the fitting of first-time cheekpieces when career-best second (clear of rest) at Leicester (6f) latest. Only picked off by a closer that day, and he may just meet a similar fate here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Beverley 13/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS13/0856 @ Newcastle 05/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 57 · 7f14y Std 132 · beat its mark05/03/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Southwell 26/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 57 · 7f14y Std 134 · beat its mark26/03/2026 · OR 57 par26/036OR 576 @ Leicester 13/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 56 · 7f Gd 131 · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Doncaster 25/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 58 · 7f6y Goo 128 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 58 par25/046OR 586 @ Redcar 18/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 57 · 7f Goo 132 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 57 par5 @ Musselburgh 05/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 62 · 7f15y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 62 par5/065OR 626 @ Doncaster 26/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 62 · 6f2y GF 132 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Leicester 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 62 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 62 par22/076OR 62projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Leicester62nd2nd0
2026-06-26Doncaster63rd3rd0
2026-06-05Musselburgh59th8th+1
2026-05-18Redcar61st1st0
2026-04-25Doncaster610th10th0
2026-04-13Leicester62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0813/045/0622/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/08/20257th66/10%25%+0.25
05/03/20263rd10/147%82%+0.34
26/03/20269th5/174%27%-0.46
13/04/20262nd14/126%94%+0.67
25/04/202610th11/271%18%-0.53
18/05/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
05/06/20269th14/126%11%-0.15
26/06/20263rd16/116%75%+0.59
22/07/20262nd7/163%86%+0.23