Yellow Diamonds
3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 64
Thirsk · Country Music Night Here Next Friday 14th August Handicap · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Thirsk | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Haydock | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-04 | Beverley | 5 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2025-10-01 | Musselburgh | 4 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 06/09/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 21/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 01/10/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 04/05/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |