6

Drumconnor Hill

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Wexford · Think Print & Design Maiden Hurdle · 2m 180y

#15

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up completed start in points and showed more than first time up over hurdles when fourth of 15 in 2m maiden at Ballinrobe in May. Failed to repeat that effort at Wexford 15 days ago, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 11/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 2m4f50y Goo 15811/05C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 26/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 2m13y Goo 15826/05C8C8 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 2m150y Gd 15823/07C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Wexford?7th7th0
2026-05-26Ballinrobe?4th4th0
2026-05-11Killarney?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0526/0523/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength53%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20268th66/10%36%+0.36
26/05/20264th50/10%79%+0.79
23/07/20267th10/147%50%+0.03