IvyArcIvyArc
10

Rosenborg

5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 100

Wexford · Think Print & Design Maiden Hurdle · 2m 180y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Stepped up on his 2 previous efforts under Rules when second of 12 in maiden hurdle at Sligo (17f, good, 11/1) 26 days ago. More required for win purposes.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR - · 2m3f55y Goo 1666/06C8C8 @ Sligo 09/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 2m1f157y Yie 1669/06C8C8 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 2m1f90y Gd 16612/07C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Sligo?2nd2nd0
2026-06-09Sligo?12th12th0
2026-06-06Punchestown?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/069/0612/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength74%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/20267th25/10%63%+0.63
09/06/202612th80/10%27%+0.27
12/07/20262nd11/142%91%+0.49