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Storm Eric

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Wexford · Think Print & Design Maiden Hurdle · 2m 180y

#6

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Modest performer on the Flat who posted several good efforts at Dundalk (10.7f) earlier in the year. Makes a belated hurdling debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength99%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 5 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA62 @ Dundalk 17/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 62 · 1m2f150y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/10/2025 · OR 62 par17/1062OR 62BHA59 @ Dundalk 29/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 59 · 7f Std 141 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/10/2025 · OR 59 parBHA57 @ Dundalk 19/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 57 · 7f Std 139 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/11/2025 · OR 57 par19/1157OR 57BHA53 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 53 · 1m Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/01/2026 · OR 53 parBHA53 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 53 · 1m2f150y Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/01/2026 · OR 53 par13/0153OR 53BHA56 @ Dundalk 20/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 56 · 1m2f150y Std 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/02/2026 · OR 56 parBHA55 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 55 · 1m2f150y Std 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 55 par13/0355OR 55BHA55 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 55 · 1m2f150y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 55 parBHA55 @ Dundalk 27/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 55 · 1m2f150y Std 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 55 par27/0355OR 55projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-27DundalkBHA552nd-1th+3
2026-03-20DundalkBHA553rd0th+3
2026-03-13DundalkBHA552nd-1th+3
2026-02-20DundalkBHA564th1st+2
2026-01-13DundalkBHA532nd-1th+3
2026-01-09DundalkBHA533rd0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/109/0113/0327/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/10/202512th50/10%15%+0.15
29/10/202512th40/10%8%+0.08
19/11/202511th66/10%23%+0.23
09/01/20263rd14/126%85%+0.58
13/01/20262nd5/174%92%+0.19
20/02/20264th11/271%77%+0.06
13/03/20262nd8/158%92%+0.34
20/03/20263rd11/271%83%+0.12
27/03/20262nd2/189%88%-0.02