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13

Tomthescaffolder

6yo Gelding · 11-4

Wexford · Think Print & Design Maiden Hurdle · 2m 180y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved on his hurdling debut form when third of 14 in maiden at this course (2½m, good to firm) 35 days ago. Drop back in trip likely to suit on that evidence and open to further progress.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Listowel 21/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 2m Yie 16821/09C?C0 @ Wexford 27/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m100y Yie 16827/10C?C8 @ Clonmel 14/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR - · 2m3f116y Goo 15814/05C8C8 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 2m4f50y Gd 1663/07C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03Wexford?3rd3rd0
2026-05-14Clonmel?4th4th0
2025-10-27Wexford?6th6th0
2025-09-21Listowel?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0927/1014/053/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength96%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20254th7/282%67%-0.15
27/10/20256th8/158%17%-0.41
14/05/20264th5/174%81%+0.08
03/07/20263rd9/276%85%+0.08