6

Annarubyrose

5yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 89

Wexford · Treo Eile Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 180y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Low-mileage 5-y-o who arrives in good heart, fifth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Sligo (21f, good) most recently. Cheekpieces reapplied and fancied to be in the shake up.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cork 10/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m60y Gd 15910/05C?C8 @ Ballinrobe 27/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 2m57y Gd 148C8 @ Sligo 10/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 2m1f157y Goo 15610/06C8C8 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f165y Goo 157BHA92 @ Downpatrick 10/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 92 · 2m1f165y Goo 157 · below its mark10/08/2025 · OR 92 par10/0892OR 92BHA88 @ Downpatrick 08/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 88 · 2m5f180y Goo 156 · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 88 parBHA91 @ Downpatrick 22/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 91 · 2m5f180y Goo 160 · below its mark22/05/2026 · OR 91 par22/0591OR 91BHA90 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 90 · 2m4f116y Gd 158 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 90 par12/0790OR 90projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12SligoBHA905th5th0
2026-05-22DownpatrickBHA914th4th0
2026-05-08DownpatrickBHA882nd2nd0
2025-08-10DownpatrickBHA929th9th0
2025-07-14Downpatrick?8th8th0
2025-06-10Sligo?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0514/0722/0512/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength85%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/05/20256th8/158%64%+0.06
27/05/20256th40/10%55%+0.55
10/06/20253rd5/174%86%+0.12
14/07/20258th12/137%36%-0.00
10/08/20259th25/10%11%+0.11
08/05/20262nd33/10%93%+0.93
22/05/20264th8/158%79%+0.21
12/07/20265th10/147%69%+0.22