13
Avandra
6yo Mare · 10-3 · OR 73
Wexford · Treo Eile Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 180y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | BHA73 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | BHA73 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | BHA74 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Tramore | BHA72 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Wexford | BHA72 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Naas | BHA72 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 26/12/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 20/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 04/03/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 31% | +0.05 |
| 16/05/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 46% | -0.25 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 09/06/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |