14
La Rocca Lass
6yo Mare · 10-3 · OR 73
Wexford · Treo Eile Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 180y
#17
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class: BHA76
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Tramore | BHA76 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Clonmel | BHA79 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Thurles | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Thurles | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Leopardstown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Wexford | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength22%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 13th | 200/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/08/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 150/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 26/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 27/12/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/02/2026 | 12th | 150/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 05/03/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 14/04/2026 | 15th | 66/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 20/04/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |