12

Stormy Jenn

9yo Mare · 10-4 · OR 74

Wexford · Treo Eile Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 180y

#5

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Losing run is mounting up but made the frame 3 times last season. Isn't the easiest to catch right, though, tailed off in re-applied cheekpieces at Downpatrick last month. Engaged 6.20 Sligo Thursday.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA56 @ Down Royal 21/06/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 56 · 1m4f207y Gd 139 · beat its mark21/06/2025 · OR 56 par21/0656OR 56BHA86 @ Cork 11/07/2025 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR 86 · 2m190y Goo 154 · below its mark11/07/2025 · OR 86 parBHA83 @ Wexford 24/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 83 · 2m150y Gd 151 · below its mark24/07/2025 · OR 83 par24/0783OR 83BHA83 @ Wexford 08/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 83 · 2m180y Goo 151 · below its mark08/08/2025 · OR 83 parBHA81 @ Bellewstown 27/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 81 · 2m1f40y Gd 147 · below its mark27/08/2025 · OR 81 par27/0881OR 81BHA81 @ Roscommon 29/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 81 · 1m7f135y Goo 149 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 81 parBHA79 @ Sligo 24/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 79 · 2m1f112y Goo 148 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 79 par24/1079OR 79BHA78 @ Navan 16/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 24 · OR 78 · 2m Hvy 146 · below its mark16/11/2025 · OR 78 parBHA77 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 77 · 2m1f165y Gd 145 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 77 par14/0777OR 77projClass-projected finish: 10th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14DownpatrickBHA7713th13th0
2026-05-30TramoreBHA770
2025-12-13FairyhouseBHA780
2025-11-16NavanBHA783rd3rd0
2025-10-24SligoBHA796th6th0
2025-09-29RoscommonBHA818th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/068/0824/1014/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength63%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/202511th40/10%23%+0.23
11/07/202514th33/10%19%+0.19
24/07/20252nd16/116%90%+0.74
08/08/202511th18/15%23%+0.18
27/08/20254th22/10%79%+0.79
29/09/20258th20/10%53%+0.53
24/10/20256th20/10%58%+0.58
16/11/20253rd33/10%91%+0.91
14/07/202613th33/10%14%+0.14