12

Stormy Jenn
9yo Mare · 10-4 · OR 74
Wexford · Treo Eile Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 180y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Downpatrick | BHA77 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Tramore | BHA77 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-13 | Fairyhouse | BHA78 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-16 | Navan | BHA78 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Sligo | BHA79 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Roscommon | BHA81 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength63%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 11/07/2025 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 24/07/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 08/08/2025 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 23% | +0.18 |
| 27/08/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 29/09/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 24/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 16/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 14/07/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |