4
Teagarden Jazz
7yo Mare · 11-7 · OR 91
Wexford · Treo Eile Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 180y
#11
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C9.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Wexford | BHA94 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Thurles | BHA96 | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-04 | Cork | BHA100 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Sligo | BHA102 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-11-29 | Thurles | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-11-03 | Cork | BHA107 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength26%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2024 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 10/09/2024 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 16/09/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 12/10/2024 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 03/11/2024 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 29/11/2024 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |
| 13/07/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/08/2025 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 16/05/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |