8

Tellmemamema

6yo Mare · 10-12 · OR 82

Wexford · Treo Eile Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 180y

#12

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Proving consistent rather than progressive in handicaps, seventh of 15 in at Sligo (21f, good) most recently. First-time cheekpieces are applied to try and eke out that bit extra, though the drop back in trip is a slight concern.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 15/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 2m95y Goo 15915/10C8C8 @ Thurles 20/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 2m26y Yie 15920/12C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 14/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 2m2f55y Yie 16114/01C8BHA84 @ Down Royal 04/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 20 · OR 84 · 2m1f88y Gd 152 · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 84 par4/0584OR 84BHA84 @ Listowel 30/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR 84 · 2m4f80y Goo 152 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 84 par30/0584OR 84BHA83 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 83 · 2m4f116y Gd 151 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 83 par12/0783OR 83projClass-projected finish: 5th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12SligoBHA837th7th0
2026-05-30ListowelBHA845th5th0
2026-05-04Down RoyalBHA844th4th0
2026-01-14Fairyhouse?10th10th0
2025-12-20Thurles?11th11th0
2025-10-15Punchestown?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1020/1214/014/0530/0512/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/20258th80/10%42%+0.42
20/12/202511th150/10%17%+0.17
14/01/202610th200/10%18%+0.18
04/05/20264th80/10%84%+0.84
30/05/20265th10/147%76%+0.29
12/07/20267th14/126%57%+0.31