7

Tudorista

5yo Mare · 11-3 · OR 87

Wexford · Treo Eile Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 180y

#9

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped with some encouragement on debut for current yard when fourth of 16 in 2½m handicap at Cork last month. Went backwards from that by a long way at Kilbeggan a fortnight ago and now a first-time tongue tie is reached for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 07/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m7f204y Gd 1477/07C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 22/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f89y Gd 14722/07C8C0 @ Wexford 06/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m Goo 1596/08C?C8 @ Downpatrick 19/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f165y Yie 14919/09C8BHA92 @ Thurles 30/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR 92 · 1m7f150y Goo 160 · below its mark30/10/2025 · OR 92 par30/1092OR 92BHA88 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 88 · 2m4f Goo 144 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 88 par10/0788OR 88projClass-projected finish: 6th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24KilbegganBHA880
2026-07-10CorkBHA884th4th0
2025-10-30ThurlesBHA9212th12th0
2025-09-19Downpatrick?9th9th0
2025-08-06Wexford?8th8th0
2025-07-22Ballinrobe?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0722/076/0819/0930/1010/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/07/20254th11/142%73%+0.31
22/07/20254th40/10%75%+0.75
06/08/20258th12/137%30%-0.07
19/09/20259th20/10%43%+0.43
30/10/202512th20/10%35%+0.35
10/07/20264th22/10%80%+0.80