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6

Now So Jake

8yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 116

Wexford · Neville Hotels Handicap Hurdle · 2m 180y

#6

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual winning pointer who built on hurdling debut when taking 15-runner maiden at Cork (3m, good to soft) in July 2024. Ran too badly to be true (found to have bled) the following month and not seen since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 11/05/2024 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 3m120y Gd 16611/05C8C8 @ Cork 05/07/2024 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 3m Goo 1665/07C8C8 @ Galway 01/08/2024 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 2m4f156y Goo 1581/08C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2024-08-01Galway?11th11th0
2024-07-05Cork?1st1st0
2024-05-11Cork?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/055/071/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength14%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20243rd9/276%83%+0.07
05/07/20241st7/282%100%+0.18
01/08/202411th22/10%9%+0.09