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5

Shaboozee

5yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 117

Wexford · Neville Hotels Handicap Hurdle · 2m 180y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Progressive hurdler last season, winning twice at Ballinrobe in August and then shaping better than the distance beaten suggests when 7 lengths fourth of 17 to Last Kingdom at Listowel on final start having been stuck behind weakening rival at crucial stage. Returns with top yard in good form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 01/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 1611/04C8C8 @ Bellewstown 12/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f40y Gd 153C8 @ Kilbeggan 16/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 2m3f Goo 15216/05C8BHA99 @ Clonmel 06/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 99 · 2m190y Goo 164 · below its mark06/06/2025 · OR 99 parBHA97 @ Killarney 17/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 97 · 2m1f Yie 149 · below its mark17/07/2025 · OR 97 par17/0797OR 97BHA100 @ Ballinrobe 11/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 100 · 2m169y Gd 165 · beat its mark11/08/2025 · OR 100 parBHA107 @ Ballinrobe 25/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 107 · 2m2f60y Goo 150 · beat its mark25/08/2025 · OR 107 par25/08107OR 1071 @ Listowel 25/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR 118 · 2m Goo 144 · beat its mark25/09/2025 · OR 118 par25/091OR 118projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-09-25Listowel14th4th0
2025-08-25BallinrobeBHA1071st1st0
2025-08-11BallinrobeBHA1001st1st0
2025-07-17KillarneyBHA972nd2nd0
2025-06-06ClonmelBHA999th9th0
2025-05-16Kilbeggan?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/046/0625/0825/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength86%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/04/20254th9/153%80%+0.27
12/04/20254th13/266%63%-0.03
16/05/20256th9/153%67%+0.14
06/06/20259th16/116%47%+0.31
17/07/20252nd5/174%90%+0.16
11/08/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
25/08/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
25/09/20254th9/276%81%+0.05