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3

Tassarolo

5yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 118

Wexford · Neville Hotels Handicap Hurdle · 2m 180y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won twice over hurdles last season but ran poorly sole handicap outing in this sphere. Arrives fit from the Flat but he'll need to step up if he's to make much of an impact here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Thurles 16/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 115 · 2m4f Goo 161 · beat its mark16/10/2025 · OR 115 par16/10C8OR 115BHA63 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 63 · 1m4f Std 123 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 63 parBHA61 @ Curragh 28/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 61 · 1m4f Sft 121 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 61 par28/0361OR 61BHA119 @ Cork 05/04/2026 · Pos 15th of 19 · OR 119 · 2m3f Yie 150 · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 119 parBHA60 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 19 · OR 60 · 1m4f180y Gd 142 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 60 par15/0560OR 60BHA60 @ Down Royal 29/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 60 · 2m Goo 142 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 60 parBHA60 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR 60 · 1m4f Goo 142 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 60 par12/0660OR 60BHA60 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 60 · 1m3f103y Gd 142 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 60 parBHA60 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 60 · 1m4f179y Goo 142 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 60 par20/0760OR 60projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA607th7th0
2026-07-15KillarneyBHA603rd3rd0
2026-06-12FairyhouseBHA608th8th0
2026-05-29Down RoyalBHA605th5th0
2026-05-15LeopardstownBHA605th5th0
2026-04-05CorkBHA11915th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/105/0412/0620/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength60%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
13/03/20269th20/10%0%0.00
28/03/20263rd25/10%85%+0.85
05/04/202615th33/10%22%+0.22
15/05/20265th6/168%78%+0.09
29/05/20265th5/174%69%-0.04
12/06/20268th3/184%56%-0.28
15/07/20263rd10/147%86%+0.38
20/07/20267th10/382%40%-0.42