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Wonderfulwonderful

4yo Filly · 10-8 · OR 114

Wexford · Neville Hotels Handicap Hurdle · 2m 180y

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful on Flat and struck at first time of asking over hurdles in Killarney juvenile in August 2025. Respectable efforts in listed events on her next 2 outings. Best excused handicap hurdle debut last time for all she has work to do from present mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Ballinrobe 23/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 72 · 1m1f163y Gd 129 · below its mark23/06/2025 · OR 72 par23/06C8OR 72BHA71 @ Tipperary 02/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 71 · 1m1f Goo 141 · below its mark02/07/2025 · OR 71 parC7 @ Fairyhouse 09/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 74 · 1m1f210y Gd 140 · below its mark09/07/2025 · OR 74 par9/07C7OR 74C8 @ Killarney 21/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 147C8 @ Dundalk 14/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 74 · 1m2f150y Std 129 · below its mark14/11/2025 · OR 74 par14/11C8OR 741 @ Newbury 28/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m69y Sft 1541 @ Musselburgh 31/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m7f124y Goo 14731/011C8 @ Ballinrobe 22/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 72 · 1m1f163y Yie 141 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 72 parBHA115 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 20 · OR 115 · 2m110y Gd 152 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 115 par29/07115OR 115projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29GalwayBHA11510th10th0
2026-06-22Ballinrobe?1st1st0
2026-01-31Musselburgh15th5th0
2025-11-28Newbury14th4th0
2025-11-14Dundalk?4th4th0
2025-08-21Killarney?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0621/0831/0129/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength25%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/06/20253rd22/10%71%+0.71
02/07/20252nd25/10%92%+0.92
09/07/20252nd11/1094%67%-0.28
21/08/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
14/11/20254th9/488%67%-0.21
28/11/20254th18/15%73%+0.67
31/01/20265th7/163%20%-0.43
22/06/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
29/07/202610th12/137%53%+0.16