13

Clever Court

5yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 78

Wexford · SIS Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m

#10

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Vastly improved when gaining first success in 15-runner handicap hurdle at Bellewstown (2½m) 34 days ago but never threatened to follow up off 6 lb higher mark over C&D last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Wexford 29/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 15329/08C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 05/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f100y Goo 1565/09C8BHA84 @ Fairyhouse 13/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 20 · OR 84 · 2m4f55y Sft 152 · below its mark13/12/2025 · OR 84 par13/1284OR 84BHA72 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 72 · 2m4f110y Gd 140 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 72 par4/0772OR 72BHA78 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 78 · 3m Gd 146 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 78 par23/0778OR 78projClass-projected finish: 8th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23WexfordBHA787th7th0
2026-07-04BellewstownBHA721st1st0
2026-05-29TramoreBHA750
2026-05-10CorkBHA770
2026-01-15FairyhouseBHA800
2025-12-28LimerickBHA820

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/085/0913/124/0723/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20257th50/10%50%+0.50
05/09/202510th150/10%36%+0.36
13/12/202512th40/10%42%+0.42
04/07/20261st50/10%100%+1.00
23/07/20267th6/168%54%-0.15