3

Clone Cross

5yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 97

Wexford · SIS Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m

#1

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

17%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden pointer/hurdler who has been placed 3 times this season, including when 4¼ lengths second of 9 to Rusty Harkness in extended 3m maiden at Kilbeggan last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Downpatrick 29/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 2m5f185y Yie 15829/03C8C8 @ Wexford 27/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 87 · 2m4f Goo 158 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 87 par27/05C8OR 87BHA94 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 94 · 2m4f110y Gd 162 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 94 par4/0794OR 94C8 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 94 · 3m100y Gd 158 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 94 par24/07C8OR 94projClass-projected finish: 1st of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Kilbeggan?2nd2nd0
2026-07-16KillarneyBHA940
2026-07-04BellewstownBHA943rd3rd0
2026-06-09SligoBHA940
2026-05-27Wexford?2nd2nd0
2026-05-10Cork?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0327/054/0724/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20266th28/10%58%+0.58
27/05/20262nd100/10%90%+0.90
04/07/20263rd12/137%86%+0.49
24/07/20262nd11/271%88%+0.16