9
Joe's Turn
10yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 86
Wexford · SIS Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m
#5
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA89 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Punchestown | BHA90 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-06-16 | Kilbeggan | BHA90 | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-14 | Tipperary | BHA86 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-25 | Kilbeggan | BHA80 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-02-24 | Punchestown | BHA80 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 23/08/2024 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/09/2024 | 13th | 3/1 | 84% | 14% | -0.70 |
| 02/10/2024 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 24/02/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 25/04/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 14/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 93% | +0.22 |
| 13/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.09 |