4
Matter Of Opinion
6yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 94
Wexford · SIS Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | BHA96 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Fairyhouse | BHA99 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Fairyhouse | BHA102 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Limerick | BHA105 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Gowran Park | BHA107 | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-20 | Navan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/01/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 09/03/2025 | 19th | 125/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/07/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 20/09/2025 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 19/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 21/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 01/01/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |