1

Mister Vic

8yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 100

Wexford · SIS Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m

#9

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Timeform

Commentary

Decisive winner at Ballinrobe for Noel Kelly last summer. Lightly raced since and has offered very little on both starts for current connections.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 11/02/2024 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m7f150y Hvy 16611/02C8C8 @ Clonmel 16/05/2024 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR - · 2m3f Goo 158BHA93 @ Downpatrick 15/06/2024 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 93 · 2m5f180y Goo 172 · below its mark15/06/2024 · OR 93 par15/0693OR 93BHA93 @ Downpatrick 11/08/2024 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 93 · 2m5f180y Gd 166 · below its mark11/08/2024 · OR 93 parBHA95 @ Down Royal 30/08/2024 · Pos 12th of 19 · OR 95 · 3m Goo 161 · below its mark30/08/2024 · OR 95 par30/0895OR 95BHA90 @ Ballinrobe 22/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 90 · 2m6f41y Gd 159 · beat its mark22/07/2025 · OR 90 parBHA104 @ Roscommon 05/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 104 · 3m Goo 160 · below its mark05/08/2025 · OR 104 par5/08104OR 104BHA103 @ Kilbeggan 15/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 103 · 1m7f153y Goo 159 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 103 parBHA102 @ Clonmel 05/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR 102 · 2m3f61y Goo 159 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 102 par5/06102OR 102projClass-projected finish: 17th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-05ClonmelBHA10213th13th0
2026-05-15KilbegganBHA10313th13th0
2025-08-05RoscommonBHA1048th8th0
2025-07-22BallinrobeBHA901st1st0
2024-08-30Down RoyalBHA9512th12th0
2024-08-11DownpatrickBHA932nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0211/085/085/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength13%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/02/202411th200/10%23%+0.23
16/05/202413th100/10%25%+0.25
15/06/20248th33/10%46%+0.46
11/08/20242nd12/137%93%+0.56
30/08/202412th17/255%39%-0.16
22/07/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
05/08/20258th12/137%53%+0.16
15/05/202613th100/10%8%+0.08
05/06/202613th80/10%20%+0.20