8

Mobile Mamma

7yo Mare · 11-2 · OR 88

Wexford · SIS Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m

#2

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

70%

Place Prob

46%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won novice handicap chase at Newcastle in 2024/25 for Ruth Jefferson. Lightly raced since but bounced back to form in cheekpieces/tongue on debut for new yard when 5 lengths second of 15 to Ladies Well at Killarney last month. Tongue strap now removed.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Perth 26/09/2024 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 2m4f35y Gd 15426/0944 @ Market Rasen 05/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 2m4f139y Goo 1475/1244 @ Uttoxeter 20/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m6f45y Sft 15420/1245 @ Newcastle 31/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 86 · 2m7f91y Goo 158 · beat its mark31/03/2025 · OR 86 par31/035OR 865 @ Newcastle 14/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 89 · 2m7f91y Goo 162 · below its mark14/03/2026 · OR 89 par14/035OR 895 @ Sedgefield 10/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR 86 · 3m2f59y Gd 149 · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 86 par10/045OR 86BHA82 @ Killarney 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 82 · 2m7f Goo 150 · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 82 par17/0782OR 82projClass-projected finish: 6th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17KillarneyBHA822nd2nd0
2026-04-10Sedgefield53rd3rd0
2026-03-14Newcastle55th5th0
2025-03-31Newcastle51st1st0
2025-02-17Southwell50
2024-12-20Uttoxeter45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0931/0317/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 17
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength41%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/20245th22/10%0%0.00
05/12/20245th66/10%20%+0.20
20/12/20245th25/10%60%+0.60
31/03/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
14/03/20265th15/261%56%-0.05
10/04/20263rd7/491%0%-0.91
17/07/20262nd15/261%93%+0.32