10
Set The Tone
5yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 82
Wexford · SIS Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: BHA75
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | BHA76 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | BHA75 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Tramore | BHA78 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | BHA81 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tramore | BHA85 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Clonmel | BHA88 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2024 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/02/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 13/04/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 14/04/2025 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 10% | -0.45 |
| 17/05/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 14/05/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 66/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |