16
Sineads Fancy
9yo Mare · 10-0 · OR 72
Wexford · SIS Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m
#16
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | BHA72 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | BHA72 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | BHA72 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Gowran Park | BHA74 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-16 | Thurles | BHA74 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Killarney | BHA77 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 22/07/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 10/08/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 08/09/2025 | 14th | 18/1 | 5% | 28% | +0.23 |
| 05/10/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 16/10/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 14/05/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 28/05/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |